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Cash from Kleptocrats

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How Much is That Clunker in the Window?

The parable of the crushed clunker.

ThoughtRogue:  Jonah may have beat me to illustrating the “Broken Window Fallacy” lesson here, but man, did he nail this one on the head.  There’s so much nonsense and ignorance contained in the “wildly successful” Cash for Clunkers “stimulus” program that only a completely ignorant, out-of-touch, out-of-control arrogant Congress could trumpet this boondoggle as a “success” (and add 2 $Billion more as did our RINO Rep. Reichert).  Folks, on net, it is DESTROYING your wealth.  The Cash from Kleptocrats program creates a plethora of new broken windows.  The grand point of this famous economic parable, which eviscerates Obanomics, is that without the hoodlum breaking his window, the baker will buy whatever goods he was going to buy in the first place, AND he has an intact window (retains more wealth!).  But, of course, in C4C, the genius kicker is that the baker’s other out-dated windows (which still have value in a free market) are also broken for his added convenience – so he can replace them with more efficient “green” windows.

By Jonah Goldberg, National Review

 

Gilded Excrement Award Winner: Cash for Clunkers!

Gilded Excrement Award Winner: Cash for Clunkers!

Ce qu’on voit et ce qu’on ne voit pas.

That may exhaust my French-phrase quota for the year, but it’s worth it. The saying is the title of an essay by 19th-century French economist Frédéric Bastiat and means “that which is seen, and that which is not seen.”

Bastiat’s essay is most famous for the “parable of the broken window,” in which a young boy shatters a shopkeeper’s window and, after some initial outrage, the villagers conclude that the rascal helped the local economy. Why?

Because if no one broke windows, window makers would be out of business, and if window makers were out of business, they wouldn’t buy any more bread or shoes, hurting the bakers and cobblers. So the six francs the shopkeeper must spend for a new window is really a boon to the community.

The problem with this argument can be gleaned from the title of Bastiat’s essay. By counting the money the shopkeeper spends to replace a perfectly good window (that which is seen), we ignore the money he might have spent on something else (that which is unseen). The shopkeeper might have instead dropped six francs on new shoes, a book, or a bonus for his assistant. Those who celebrate the broken window as a generator of growth take “no account of that which is not seen.”

Sorry for the long digression, but the parable of the broken window is worth keeping in mind, or perhaps even worth updating to the parable of the crushed clunker.

This parable is more convoluted, but the upshot is that Uncle Sam pays people to destroy their own cars as long as they use the money to buy a new, more expensive car.

As you’ve no doubt heard, the “cash for clunkers” program gives buyers up to $4,500 of taxpayer money toward the purchase of a new car if they trade in their old cars for vehicles with better gas mileage. The old cars, still roadworthy, are then destroyed just like the shopkeeper’s window.

The thinking behind the program is that the car companies need a boost, Michigan needs a boost, the environment needs a boost (through lower emissions), and Americans need help too.

Unsaid, but just as relevant, is that the authors of the government’s mammoth stimulus plan need some proof that something is being stimulated.

The program’s $1 billion funding evaporated in days rather than months as consumers, most of whom had been waiting to trade in their clunkers anyway, lined up for free cash. Washington is now agog with its successful effort to give out free money.

That Washington is shocked by the news that Americans like getting free money shows how thick the Beltway bubble really is.

Like the drunk who only looks for his car keys where the light is good, Washington can only see the economic activity it has created, not the activity it has destroyed.

For starters, who says the smartest thing for people with working cars is to buy new ones? Personal debt is supposed to be a problem, so why not look at this as bribing consumers into taking out car loans they don’t need? Even with the $4,500 subsidy, not all of these customers are going to be paying cash for their new cars. So they’ll be swapping serviceable-but-paid-for cars for nicer cars that are owned by banks.

Besides, maybe some people would be smarter to buy a savings bond or max out their kid’s college fund or — here’s a crazy thought — buy health insurance. But instead they’ve been seduced into spending the equivalent of their six francs on a car they don’t really need.

But, you might say, some buyers surely do need a new car. True. But if they needed a new car, they’d get one anyway, eventually. Indeed, they might already have gotten it, but rationally opted to wait for the program to kick in.

Or maybe they’d have needed to delay the purchase until next year, or buy a cheaper car, possibly even a used car, which will now become more difficult for poor people to find because we are taking all these cheap cars off the market.

But at least under these scenarios, they’d be spending their own money.

Under the government’s program, tax dollars are being diverted to people with cheap cars so they can buy expensive ones. That’s just really inefficient wealth distribution, not wealth creation. But government can see it, and that’s all that counts.

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The Jobless Recovery (minus the recovery part..)

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This Time, It’s for Real.

By Jerry Bowyer, NRO Financial

"Official" Unemployment Rate

"Official" Unemployment Rate

ThoughtRogue: For a real eye-opener, see the real unemployment statistics at ShadowStats.com.  The numbers in the chart above reflect only the amount of applications for Unemployment benefits.  The actual rate of all people out of work is over 20% – and continues to rise!

BuzzCharts spent much of 2003, 2004, and 2005 rebutting the media mantra that the U.S. was experiencing a “jobless recovery.” While unemployment rates bobbed between the upper end of 4 percent and the lower end of 6 percent, the press sang dirges about the “worst job market since Herbert Hoover.” So why is it that nobody seems to mention a “jobless recovery” anymore, especially with the unemployment rate marching toward 10 percent?

The data now confirm that we really are in a jobless recovery. Unemployment just hit 9.5 percent, with few signs of a momentum reversal. And we just passed a historic milestone: Our jobless rate has eclipsed that of France. And why not? American labor policy is rapidly mutating toward the Gallic model of wage floors, heavy unionization, and central planning, while French policy under Sarkozy is inching toward a supply-side formula for growth.

The interesting thing about this jobless recovery is that chainsaw personnel policy isn’t to blame. We’re not firing many people: Terminations have fallen to a fairly moderate level, and monthly layoffs have plunged in the last few months. Initial jobless claims also are falling. The problem is that we’re not hiring many people, either. It’s the Euro-model of non-dynamism — jobs can be neither created nor destroyed.

Meanwhile, we’re starting to hear calls for a second stimulus program. Let’s get the math right first. Under Obama, we just had the second stimulus program, since the first was launched under Bush last year. So we’re now discussing a third stimulus effort, with administration officials sounding the alarm: “The patient’s blood pressure is dropping. We need more leeches, stat!”

Truth is, we’re not mired despite the stimulus plan, but because of it. Entrepreneurs are not mindless beasts who simply expand operations when the government rings the fiscal dinner bell. They know today’s spending explosion will be financed by future tax increases. They know that every government check handed to a social worker, AmeriCorps “volunteer,” or United Auto Worker will be paid for, eventually, by the entrepreneurial and investor class — and they are planning accordingly.

They also know that their unemployment-compensation taxes will rise every time a stimulus plan extends unemployment benefits. Unemployment “comp” is run kind of like an insurance program: Each time one of your ex-employees gets a check, your rates go up. Who other than a community organizer, lobbyist, or solar-panel salesman would hire in an environment like this?

Health care figures in, too. If I’m going to be forced to offer an Obama-designed, gold-plated health-insurance plan to my employees (or face a penalty for each employee not so benefited), every person I hire is a potential long-term health-care liability. This already has begun with the changes to COBRA (a government health-care provision for laid-off employees) in Stimulus II. Wait until Obamacare arrives.

Want Euronomics? Get ready for perpetually high, Euro-style unemployment rates. Want low unemployment rates and robust American-style growth? Bring back the proven model of small government, spending restraint, and low tax rates.

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Get Your ObamaCard, Today!

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TR:  Just wait ’til you start getting the bills – with the ever-increasing interest rate… (sshhhhhh..)

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